More Americans Support Democrats
Pew Research dug deep into the long term trends on
party affiliation and found that more demographic groups lean Democratic
than Republican, and more Americans lean towards supporting Democrats.
Pew found that Republicans are just who they are
often thought to be. Mormons (+48) and Evangelical Christians (+46) were
the heaviest skewing Republican groups followed by white Southerns
(+21), white men with some or no college education (+21), white voters
(+9), and voters age 69-86 (+4).
The demographic groups that tilt Democratic include
Blacks (+69), Asians (+42), religiously unaffiliated (+36), postgraduate
women (+35), Jewish (+30), Hispanics (+30), millennials (+16).
According to Pew, more Americans lean Democratic than Republican:
ost of those who identify as independents lean toward a party. And in many respects, partisan leaners have attitudes that are similar to those of partisans – they just prefer not to identify with a party. (See this appendix to our 2014 polarization report for an explainer on partisan “leaners.”)The balance of leaned partisan affiliation has changed little in recent years: 48% identify with the Democratic Party or lean Democratic, while 39% identify as Republicans or lean toward the GOP. Democrats have led in leaned party identification among the public for most of the past two decades.
One of the reasons why Republicans have lost five of
the last six popular votes in presidential elections is that more
Americans lean towards supporting the Democratic Party. The media and
Republicans like to perpetuate the myth that America is a conservative
nation, but the reality is that America is a lot more liberal than
conservatives care to admit.
Pew examined data from 1992-2014, and the result
confirms that the Democratic Party is more diverse than the GOP. The key
demographics for Republicans are centered around evangelicals, Mormons,
whites, Southerners, men, and older Americans. This group is more
likely to care about beliefs and social issues over economics and
pocketbook politics.
With Democrats emphasizing middle-class economics
and populist ideas, it is not surprising that they hold a built-in
advantage with much of the national electorate. One of the byproducts of
the Republican overseen Great Recession is that the country has moved
left. Voters oppose the Republican agenda of trickle-down economics and
tax cuts for the wealthy.
America is moving left, and if Republicans don’t come with it, they are going to a regional party that gets left behind.
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