According to a new poll, President Obama’s favorability rating has increased by four points to its highest level since 2013.
The new Gallup poll
revealed that President Obama’s favorability rating remains on the
rise. Obama’s favorability rating increased to 49% in March to 53%
today. The President spent all of 2014 with a rating under 50%, and his
current numbers are his highest since September 2013. Personal
favorability is not the same as a job approval rating, but the
President’s job approval ratings have also been steadily improving as
the economy has continued to grow.
Independents are leading the surge in President
Obama’s personal approval rating. Obama’s favorability rating has
increased by five points (47% to 52%) since February. Obama’s
favorability rating has also increased by four points (86% to 90%) with
Democrats over the same period. The increase in support among Democrats
suggests that the President has not been damaged by the disagreement
within his party over trade.
Pundits and the media’s conventional wisdom suggest
that President Obama’s job approval rating will be critical to the 2016
Democratic nominee’s chances of victory. This nugget of false knowledge
was debunked when Obama cruised to reelection in 2012 as the press
claimed that his job approval ratings meant that he was going to
struggle.
Many voters support a candidate because of personal
likability. During the 2012 election, Obama’s personal favorability
ratings were always much higher than those of Mitt Romney. If President
Obama maintains or grows his personal favorability rating, he will be a
huge asset to the Democratic Party in 2016. Democrats will not make the
same mistake that Al Gore made by keeping Bill Clinton on the bench in
2000. Gore’s decision was complicated by the Lewinsky scandal, but
former President Clinton was incredibly popular, and might have been
able to tilt the election to Al Gore if he had been more utilized on the
campaign trail.
Despite
numerous Republican attempts to create one, President Obama has no
scandals. The scandal-free nature of his administration combined with a
growing economy suggests that the stage is set for Obama’s favorability
ratings to grow as his time in office winds down. This poll may reflect a
political climate where voters aren’t looking for a change. If voters
are satisfied with this president personally and professionally, it will
only strengthen the Democratic case in 2016.
No comments:
Post a Comment