The latest Morning Consult poll of New Hampshire
found that Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) is running closer than the experts
expected to Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire. Sanders trails Clinton by
just ten points, 42%-32% in the Granite State.
According to Morning Consult,
“But in the state that provided Clinton her biggest boost in 2008, the
margin is much closer: Among voters who say they will participate in New
Hampshire’s Democratic primary, 44 percent choose Clinton, while 32
percent pick Sanders, who hails from neighboring Vermont.”
This is definitely some of the neighboring state
effect happening in New Hampshire, but the polling also shows that the
support for Sanders is very real. Sanders is polling at 12% in Iowa and
10% in South Carolina. Those numbers on their own aren’t good enough,
but if he pulls a New Hampshire surprise, the primaries in South
Carolina and beyond could tighten up a bit.
To the surprise of many in the pundit class,
Democrats may have a contest in New Hampshire. None of this is
surprising to Sanders himself, who said earlier this month that he was going to win New Hampshire, “Let me tell you a secret: We’re going to win New Hampshire.”
The Clintoncentric media will try to turn Sanders’
strength into a story about Hillary Clinton’s weakness, but they will be
missing the point. Sen. Sanders is tapping into a very real feeling in
this country right now. It isn’t that Hillary Clinton is strong or weak,
but that there are millions of people who are still reeling from the
Great Recession. Bernie Sanders is speaking to them.
Bernie
Sanders could win New Hampshire, and I believe it will take a primary
win in order for the media to take his campaign seriously. The message
is the reason why Sen. Sanders has a chance to pull off a primary upset.
The messenger may not win the nomination, but the message could change
America.
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