The U.S. Supreme Court agreed to hear a case
that could fundamentally alter the way districts are drawn in the
United States. If the court rules in favor of the plaintiffs, it could
also undermine the bedrock American principle of “one person, one vote”.
The case brought forward by Texas plaintiffs Sue
Evenwel and Edward Pfenninger, argues that Texas Senate Districts dilute
the plaintiffs’ voting power, because a higher proportion of residents
is eligible to vote in their districts than in other districts in the
state. The two plaintiffs are represented by the right-wing group Project on Fair Representation, which also brought the suit against the Voting Rights Act to the Supreme Court.
Under current law, federal and state districts are
drawn based on the principle that each district should have equal or
nearly equal populations. The challenge brought before the Supreme Court
would alter that formula, instead redrawing district’s based on
eligible voter population, rather than total population. If the court
accepts the plaintiff’s arguments, it will clear the way for redrawing
districts, to further dilute the political power of already
disenfranchised groups like children, prisoners, and undocumented
immigrants.
If the court rules in favor of the plaintiffs, it
will undermine “representational equality” which ensures that each
elected representative in a body governs roughly the same number of
people. It would also throw redistricting into chaos, as Census
population data would be replaced by a hodgepodge of competing formulas
used to estimate the voter eligible population in each district.
The court agreed to hear the case even though it has
not been tested in the lower courts, which would typically rule on a
case before it reaches the Supreme Court. The intended effect of the
change would be to dilute the political power of Latinos, children, and
voters in urban areas while disproportionately empowering older, rural
and whiter voters.
While
it remains uncertain how the Supreme Court will rule on the case, their
decision to hear the case already confirms a familiar pattern with the
Roberts’ Court. When it comes to election law, the only guiding
principle that governs the decisions of the conservative justices on the
Robert’s Court, is will the change benefit Republicans? If the answer
is yes, then that is how the court will likely rule.
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