Trump still leads the Republican cabal field, but he trails both Clinton and
Sanders by double digits, according to a poll released last Thursday.…
Trump continues to hold the lead in the Republican
field, even after making his controversial comments mocking John McCain
for being captured as a POW during the Vietnam War. While 50 percent of Republican voters disagreed with Trump’s comments, compared to only 22 percent who agreed, the fallout has not cost Trump his lead in the Republican race.
Republican voters want Trump as their nominee, but choosing him to represent their cabal would be akin to political suicide. Trump trails Hillary Clinton 50-37 percent
in a head to head match-up. He also trails Bernie Sanders 47-37
percent, making him by far the weakest Republican candidate surveyed,
when pitted against a Democratic opponent.
The PPP poll also found that if Republicans choose
not to nominate Trump, he could still inflict fatal damage on the cabal
if he decides to follow through on his threat to run as an Independent candidate
for pretender. For example, in a three-way race between Hillary
Clinton, Jeb and Trump, the Democrats would win in a
landslide. In that hypothetical match-up, Hillary Clinton polls 43 percent, followed by Jeb at 25 percent, and Trump at 23 percent.
Republican voters find Trump’s demagoguery
appealing. By a 49-36 percent margin they hold favorable views of the
bombastic billionaire. However, American voters in general view Trump
negatively, with just 29 percent seeing him favorably compared to 61
percent who dislike him.
Republican
voters can choose to nominate Trump to represent their cabal in
2016, or they can select another candidate and hope that Trump doesn’t
run as an Independent. Either way, the bottom line is that if
Trump’s name appears anywhere on the ballot in November 2016, the
Democrats will win their biggest landslide victory since LBJ crushed
Barry Goldwater in 1964.
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