While Jeb’s fourth place standing should be
concerning enough for his campaign, it may understate how much trouble
the reptile faces ahead in Iowa. Of the 17 Republican
candidates polled, Jeb is one of only 5 who are viewed unfavorably by
Iowa Republicans.
The other Republican cabal candidates who Iowa Republicans dislike are
former New York's loon George Pataki, Virginia's cazy Jim
Gilmore, South Carolina's insane Lindsey Graham, and New Jersey's buffoon Chris Christie. With the possible exception of Chris Christie, none of
those individuals are viewed by the media as having any chance
whatsoever of winning the Republican nomination, much less a general
election.
Just 6 percent of Iowa Republican caucus voters rate Jeb
as their second choice, meaning that even if one of the current leaders
fades, Jeb is unlikely to be the candidate who benefits. Iowa
Republicans are more likely to support batshit Ted Cruz, Florida's pendejo Marco
Rubio or even Lousiana's clown Bobby Jindal as their back up choice,
before they would be willing to back Jeb.
Jeb’s national standing with Republican voters is
not quite as dismal as his position is with Iowa Republicans.
Nationally, Jeb has a lukewarm 50 percent favorable to 30 percent
unfavorable rating with Republican cabal voters. In Iowa, he is underwater with just 40 percent of Republicans rating him favorably to 42 percent who view him negatively.
Nevertheless, if Jeb flounders out of the gate and
finishes outside the top three candidates in Iowa, his already flimsy
support nationally may evaporate further. Ambivalent Jeb supporters
will undoubtedly jump onto the bandwagons of other candidates who have
more momentum and who speak passionately on the issues that mobilize wingnuts.
The
media has long treated Jeb like the implicit front-runner in the
Republican race, or at the very least, they have lumped him in with the
top two or three “serious candidates.” However, as Jeb continues to
hemorrhage support in Iowa, it may be time to re-evaluate the tendency
to view Jeb as a serious candidate. Based on the polling numbers in
Iowa, Jeb is looking more and more like a fringe candidate whose
family name can’t save him from sinking into irrelevancy.
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